Thursday, 30 August 2012

New paper indicates that soot from Chinese coal use is the cause of the Arctic melt

The two images above shows the R squared value, the goodness of fit,for China coal use  is almost twice that for global temperature.   The Ed Caryl paper (see shows clearly that the Arctic ice melt  is being accelerated by the presence of soot and dust from Asia mainly China.  Coal figures are from Wikipedia and use also of the NSIDC NH ice index. China is using three billion tons of coal each year and it is this coal use that is affecting the Arctic melt. Greenland is not thawing neither is Siberia.  The cold is on the land but the warmth is on the seas.  The seas are warm and not the atmosphere.  The soot accumulates on all of the ice enhancing the melt.

Wednesday, 29 August 2012

Paper in Science Journal finds Arctic sea ice extent 8000 years ago was less than half of the `record` low of 2007!

        Scientific paper in Science Journal has revealed that summer Arctic sea ice extent during the holocene Thermal Maximum 8000 years ago was less than half of the `record low 2007 level`.  The paper found a general build up of sea ice from about 6000 years before the present which reached a maximum during the Little Ice Age(which ended around 1850) and attained its present extent at 4000 years before the present.   (Science 5 August 2011  Vol 333 No 6043  PP 747-750.  Reported in hockeyschtick.blogspot      Also the NSIDC product ,the new and improved multisensor MASIE shows no record low at 4.7 million Km2!  

Monday, 27 August 2012

Ice core shows Antarctic Peninsula warming is nothing unusual

       This report posted in Energy 23 August 2012 reveals that a new ice core from the Antarctic Peninsula shows that temperatures in the region during the past 10 000 years have often been higher than they are today, and that warming of the sort seen there recently has also occurred in the pre-industrial past.  The new data is derived from a massive 364 metre long core extracted from the ice sheet lying on the top of James Ross island towards the northern tip of the Antarctic Peninsula in the freezing Weddell Sea.  The core was extracted by scientists from the British Antarctic Survey, assisted by a French team.   As a result of this it has been possible to reconstruct local temperatures and snowfall way back to the end of the last ice age.   The Ross Island ice core results have made it into Nature magazine.
         The results show that while the high rate of warming over the past century is unusual it is not unprecedented in the context of natural climate variability over the past two millennia..  Natural millennial scale climate variability has resulted in warming on the eastern Antarctic Peninsula that has been ongoing for a number of centuries and has left ice shelves in this area vulnerable to collapse.    The Nature article reveals that there is evidence for instability of the Larsen A ice shelf between 3800 and 1400 years ago.  Ice shelves along the shores of the Waddell Sea have snapped off in the pre-industrial past and may well snap off in coming years.   The idea that they must result from man made carbon emissions does not seem credible.
 (see report in the register www.the

Monday, 20 August 2012

Republican Vice Presidential candidate Paul Ryan opposses man made climate change theory

                      Republican Presidential candidate Mitt Romney has chosen as his Vice Presidential running mate Representative Paul Ryan from Wisconsin.  Ryan is totally opposed to the discredited man made climate change theory.  He has accused climate scientists of "intentionally misleading the public on climate change"( P Gosselin  11 August 2012) In 2009 writing in on 9 December he said
                 " the CRU(climate research unit at the University of East Anglia) e-mail scandal reveals a perversion of the scientific method, where data was manipulated to support a predetermined conclusion.   The e-mail scandal has not only forced the resignation of a number of discredited scientists, but it also marks a major step back on the need to preserve the integrity of the scientific community.  While interests on both sides of the issue will debate the relevance of the manipulated or otherwise omitted data, these revelations undermine confidence in the scientific data driving the climate change debate"                  
                  Professor Fred Singer Professor emeritus at the University of Virginia and Director of the Science and Environment Policy Project.  He is the founding director of the US Weather Satellite service.
Referring to the climate situation he refers to RepresentativeRyan as the polar opposite of former VP Candidate Al Gore.  He says that climate scientific back up for Ryan can be supplied.   In particular he notes that while there has been an increase in temperature over the past 250 years as the earth recovers from the Little Ice Age, the warming reported from surface stations since about 1980 is not matched by observations of atmospheric temperatures, ocean temperatures, or so called proxies(temperatures derived from tree rings, lake sediments, stalagmites, corals, ice cores etc.    There is evidence for fluctuations produced by atmosphere-ocean oscillations and accumulating evidence for the subtle influences of the sun on the climate.
(American Thinker 20 August 2012).
           Note: there is plenty of recent evidence of the deliberate manipulation of temperature data from ground based weather stations from the Hadley Centre land centres Crutem 4 data.( previous posts)

Thursday, 9 August 2012

an inconvenient result for Hansen! 1936 almost two degrees hotter than 2012!

                          Anthony Watts (WUWT blog) reports that July 2012 has NOT been a record breaker according to data from the new NOAA/NCDC US Climate Reference network.     Watts reports that the difference between the old problematic network and the new USCRN is 2.1 F cooler!.   This puts July 2012 according to the best official climate monitoring network in the USA at 1.9F below the 77.4F July 1936 average temperature in the NOAA press release, not a record by any measure!.   There is no correlation between 2012 summer temperatures in Washington and world temperatures which are much cooler and far below that predicted by Hansen.   Watts notes that the old land based temperatures measuring network was a mishmash  of urban, semi urban, rural, airport and non airport sitings some of which were sited in parking lots, near air conditioners vents and on airport tarmac which would inevitably mean higher than average temperatures.

New Hansen climate paper ridiculed by top scientists

                        The new climate paper just released by Dr James Hansen the well known alarmist from the Goddard Institute of Space Studies ,which supports AGW as the cause of recent climate changes,  has been ridiculed as seriously scientifically flawed and in complete contrast to the actual measured temperatures. Anthony Watts author of  the world`s top science blog (WUWT) has noted that the southern hemisphere data is missing.   The period chosen by Hansen 1955-1999 leaves out the warmer 1930`s and the cooler 2000`s.  Why?  The period from 2000 to the present has no statistically significant warming. Leaving that period out biases the presentation.   As for severe weather Hansen ignores the fact that neither tornadoes nor hurricanes have shown any increase recently..  NOAA`s SPC reported that July 2012 was a record low for tornadoes!
                       Dr Martin Hoerling NOAA(National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration) Chief meteorologist and lead author of the US Climate Change Science Plan Assessment Report, said that the Russian heat wave was natural.  He says "Dr Hansen`s new paper confuses drought, which is caused primarily by a lack of rainfall, with heat waves."   In an interview in the New York Times Hoerling rips apart the new Hansen paper.  He says about the Hansen paper "this is not a serious science paper.  It is mainly about perception, as indicated by the paper title.  Perception is not science!"  New York Times 6 August 2012.    Again Hoerling interviewed by Wynne Parry for LiveScience and reported on Fox News says " the weather pattern responsible would have happened regardless of human induced climate change"   Fox News 7 August 2012.