Wednesday, 22 November 2017

Benny Peiser(GWPF)--Germany`s Climate Consensus Collapsing

 Germany now ungovernable!.  AFD opposes plans to cut CO2 emissions by renewables. A new chapter dawns in Germany.    COAL IS KING IN GERMANY AS IN AMERICA.  Time for celebration!
Germany faces a political crisis after a month of four-party exploratory talks about forming a so-called Jamaica coalition collapsed late on Sunday night. For the first time since the Weimar Republic (1919-1933), German parties with a majority in parliament are unwilling to form a Government. Nobody knows what happens next or how this deepening crisis can be solved anytime soon.
The inability to agree on contentious climate and energy policy issues together with disagreement over migration triggered the end of the exploratory coalition talks yesterday evening.
Most remarkable: Germany’s failed and increasingly unpopular climate policies are at the core of the crisis. It also signals the collapse of Germany’s decade-old climate consensus.
While the Green Party demanded the immediate shut-down of 10-20 of Germany’s 180 coal power plants, the Liberal Party (FDP) stood by its manifesto promise of  a radical reform of the Energiewende, advocating the end to subsidies for renewable energy.
Experts at the Federal Ministry of Economics had warned participants at the exploratory coalition talks that Germany will miss its legally binding 2020 climate targets by a mile and that trying to achieve its 2030 goals would risk the economic prosperity of the country.
The Ministry also  warned that any attempt to force a radical reduction of CO2 emissions “by 2020 would only be possible by partial de-industrialisation of Germany.”
Climate business as usual is no longer an option for the Liberals. The party fears that a fast exit from coal-fired power generation, as demanded by the Greens, would result in severe social, economic and political problems. A continuation of radical climate policies would affect Germany’s main coal regions, not least in Eastern Germany where the right-wing protest party Alternative für Deutschland (AfD) had gained significant support in the federal elections in September.
The Alternative für Deutschland (AfD) won nearly 13% of the vote in the general election in September and forms, with over 90 MPs, the third-largest group in the Bundestag. The party’s success has changed Germany’s political landscape and has ushered in the end of the green consensus among mainstream parties. To ensure that the cost of energy remains low, the AfD advocates the continued use of nuclear and coal-generated electricity. It opposes the Energiewende, stating that “energy must remain affordable and should not be a luxury commodity.” Claiming that subsidies for renewable energy are only benefitting well-off families and green businesses, their manifesto promised the abolition of Germany’s renewable energy law (EEG) together with all green energy subsidies.
As a recent editorial of the Wall Street Journal concludes: “No wonder voters are in revolt. The right-wing Alternative for Germany (AfD) won a surprising 13% vote share in part on a promise to end the Energiewende immediately. A new study from the RWI Leibniz Institute for Economic Research finds that 61% of Germans wouldn’t want to pay even one eurocent more per kilowatt-hour of electricity to fund more renewables.”
The dramatic success of the AfD means that for the first time a party is represented in the Bundestag that opposes Germany’s plans to cut CO2 emissions by moving to renewable energy. Its sceptical stance on climate and green energy issues has sent shock-waves through Germany’s political establishment who fear they can no longer afford to appease the Greens without losing further support among their traditional voter base.
Without the development of new pragmatic policies and a forceful defence of a cheap energy strategy in face of a rapidly fading (and ageing) green movement, Germany is unlikely to free itself from the green shackles that are hindering technological and economic progress, never mind political stability. Much of the green ballast that is holding Germany back will need to be thrown overboard if the country wants to regain political stability and economic pragmatism.
Just as East Germany’s socialist central planning failed miserably before it was overthrown and replaced by an open society based on liberty and free markets, Germany’s climate religion and green central planning will have to be discarded before it  can return to energy realism and economic sanity.

Monday, 20 November 2017

Christopher Booker on BBC climate bias

The Professor from the Grantham Institute is Professor Joanna Haigh formerly from the Institute of Physics.    I am also a long standing member of the Institute of Physics and as the founder of the energy and climate group at the Institute of Physics in London  I can  clearly say Professor Haigh is wrong.
          There is no scientific evidence that the earth temperature is increasing.  Climate data in NOAA has been deliberately criminally altered lowering the temperature data before 1998 and increasing it after 1998 to give the false impression that the earth temperature in increasing in temperature.  All the main physics research in UK universities Northumberland, Southamption etc all indicate that climate change is due to the changing sun resulting in the earth heading towards a new ice age.  research by Professor Murry Salby(see his Westminster lecture) shows that nearly all the CO2 in the atmosphere is coming from natural sources such as high vegetation equatorial regions and ocean releases(over 98%). .

Three weeks ago, the BBC was happy to apologise for a breach of its legal obligation to report only with “accuracy and impartiality”, after an interviewer on the Today programme had failed to challenge a point which the global warming sceptic Lord Lawson had got wrong. (From Christopher Booker column in the Sunday Telegraph 19 November)
Yet in recent days, as Today has gone into overdrive to puff the latest UN climate talks in Bonn, it has repeatedly failed to challenge a string of climate alarmist interviewees on claims much more wildly misleading than anything said by Lord Lawson.
When, for instance, a professor from the Grantham Institute wanted to correct any idea that computer models had got wrong their predictions of rising global temperatures, she was allowed to claim, unchallenged, that they had all been “bang on”.
Yet last March, when Dr John Christy, who runs one of the two official satellite temperature records, presented the US Congress with a scrupulously compiled graph showing the truth of those model predictions, it made clear that only one of 105 had been anywhere the temperatures actually recorded. The rest had exaggerated the real temperatures by up to a whole degree or more.
The same professor was allowed to get away with claiming that the cost of renewable energy had “simply plummeted”. Again the real figures show otherwise. Our hugely subsidised offshore wind farms, for instance, are producing electricity for which we still have to pay up to £161 a megawatt hour, three and a half times the current wholesale price of electricity.
At midday last Wednesday, coal and gas were providing 73 per cent of all the electricity we were using, while all our wind farms put together contributed just 0.5 per cent. So how are we going to keep our lights on under the Government’s plans to eliminate all those “polluting” fossil fuels?
The professor assured listeners that every country other than President Trump’s US, has “signed up” to the Paris climate agreement. Two days later, Today’s Justin Webb, interviewing another professor happily recalled that Al Gore had recently “told this programme” that China was doing “rather well” in its drive to lead the world in renewables.
Yet not once has Today ever allowed us to know that, in documents supplied to that same Paris climate conference, the rest of the world, led by China and India, detailed its plans to build so many hundreds of new coal-fired power stations that global CO emissions will by 2030 have risen by 46 per cent.
acknowledgements Paul Homewood     Not a lot of people know that blog

Tuesday, 14 November 2017

BBC Forced to Withdraw Fake Sea Level Claims!

BBC World at One  Radio 4,  27 March 2017.

BBC Forced To Withdraw Fake Sea Level Claims

by Paul Homewood
By Paul Homewood


Readers may recall an item on the BBC World at One back in March about rising sea levels in Florida, when their correspondent claimed that:
1) Rising seas and flooding are turning Miami Beach into a modern day Atlantis, the city being submerged by water.
2) Sea levels at Miami are rising at ten times the global rate.

I covered the story here.
I complained to the BBC at the time, and, after being fobbed off the first time, escalated the complaint to the Executive Complaints Unit, who have now published the above judgment.
Astonishingly, they regard the claims about “Atlantis” to be “soundly based”, even though they now accept that sea levels around Miami are only rising at about 8 inches a century.

Of course, they had no choice but to withdraw the ludicrous claim about “ten times the global rate”!
But why on earth does the World at One need to be reminded that they should not make scientific claims without actually checking the facts first? For that matter, why has not this instruction gone out to all news and documentary programmes and news sites as well?

Tuesday, 7 November 2017

Terri Jackson Bsc(hons physics) Msc MPhil(econ) MInstP
original founder energy and climate group at Institute of Physics
with contributions by Philip Foster MA(Natural Sciences).
There has been much discussion in the press about the potential for
increasing electrification in the UK with a government date of 2040 for complete
electrification. Motoring organisations including the AA have expressed scepticism and
concern that it would place too much strain on the National Grid. The National Grid
estimates that most electric cars will require a battery capacity of 90 kilowatt hours(kWh) to
make journeys of around 300 miles. The present TESLA battery capacity is rated at 70KWh.
Philip Foster cites as a base calculation Drax power station which uses about 0.31 kilograms
of coal per KWh generated
( Fast charging is only 50%
efficient so a single charge will require 140KWh of electricity for a single charge, giving about
43 kilograms of coal for one charge(0.31x140). Using a higher capacity battery as suggested
by the National Grid of 90KWh would mean an even higher coal usage of 55.8 kilograms of
coal for a single charge.. A petrol car would require about 20 kilograms of petrol for the same
distance. So an electric car will release double the amount of CO2 of that of a petrol car. Also
the loss to the treasury of ending petrol car use is estimated to be £28 billion! (Edmund King
President AA. Times Report 28 October 2017)
Tesla car bursts into flames in test drive in France! Watch it on youtube!
( (see also German web site. Pierre Gosselin)